A recent press release by Grant Thornton International Ltd reviewed that about 21% of privately held businesses around the world plan to freeze their employees' pay rise over the next 12 months, while 3% even expected to reduce pay.
According to their survey, the regions with most respondents indicated no pay rise or even pay cut in 2009, which higher than the global average of 24% are:
- Taiwan - 77%
- Singapore - 49%
- Hong Kong - 44%
- Italy - 42%
- Malaysia - 42%
- Ireland - 39%
- Thailand - 39%
- Russia - 38%
- Mainland China - 35%
- Chile - 30%
- Poland - 28%
- Japan - 28%
- Germany - 24%
- New Zealand - 24%
From the list above, we can observe that developing countries which export economy is very much dependent to the US market are most affected. Even though the global economic crisis is mainly originated from the US this time, 20% of the US respondents has indicated no pay rise or pay cut in 2009, which is still below the global average.
By contrast, countries in the Nordic region appear prepared to be the least affected, with 82% of respondents indicating that they intend to increase salaries by inflation or above compared with the global average of 64%. Denmark topped the league with 91% while businesses in Finland (89%) and Sweden (74%) had similar high expectations.
Therefore, we should prepare for the worst and adjust our personal finance to a more defensive position.